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Call Audit
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Passport #164059 · Jul 23, 2026 · 19:26 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC showing early signs of weakness on lower TF.
I think we revisit $62.5kish
Opened a quick short to hedge the larger move that i still expect in the coming weeks.
https://t.co/GGVQBlzOpL https://t.co/UkOaKzrnfx
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish signals ('signs of weakness', 'short') indicate down direction. 'I think we revisit $62.5kish' is a mild hedge with a clear single target of 62500.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to ~$62.5k. The forecaster describes this as a 'quick short' opened to hedge, indicating an intraday/scalp intent. Signal A base 1.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,893 |
| Target | $62,500 – $62,500 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.60composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.62 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.70 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.79 |
| Magnitude | 0.62 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 23, 2026 · 19:26 UTC → Jul 30, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,893 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 906.9,
"mfe": 2150.63,
"mqs": 0.618652,
"ocs": 0.703388,
"tif": 0.790698,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.304126,
"sigma_d": 0.01573532,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.618652,
"max_close": 65767.6,
"min_close": 62991.28,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 19:26:53+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.964042,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.604216,
"activation_price": 64893.1,
"dir_target_score": 0.79471,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.034377,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 34,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}