Call Audit

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Passport #116927 · Aug 18, 2025 · 16:50 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@thecryptomonk

Aug 18, 2025 · 16:50 UTC

$ETH below $4,500 is a gift you won’t get offered for long. The most obvious x2 in crypto is sitting right before your eyes.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	365 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bullish call - ETH below $4,500 is described as a gift with an 'obvious 2x' implying a target of ~$9,000. However, target validation fails because the 2x is implied/computed from context rather than explicitly stated, and $4,500 is referenced as a current price level/entry zone, not a target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH rises (implied 2x from below $4,500). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'won't get offered for long' is vague urgency but not tied to a specific move timeline. No clear bounce/bottom/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$4,323
Target	$9,000 – $9,000
Duration	365 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	reviewer_override
Duration stated (days)	365
Duration used in scoring	365

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$4,323
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2816.89,
  "mfe": 636.13,
  "mqs": 0.835146,
  "ocs": 0.184224,
  "tif": 0.090909,
  "mfe_ts": "2025-08-24 18:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.190765,
  "sigma_d": 0.03310906,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-01 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.835146,
  "max_close": 4940.66,
  "min_close": 1518.97,
  "eval_start": "2025-08-18 16:50:28+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 365,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.802693,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.325261,
  "activation_price": 4322.57,
  "dir_target_score": 0.132143,
  "candles_evaluated": 30387,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.081636,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 11,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 11,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 11
}