Call Audit

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Passport #78463 · May 5, 2026 · 12:59 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@thecryptomist

May 5, 2026 · 12:59 UTC

𝕏

I think #Bitcoin likely to see ATH than $50k Though, most of this year will be ranging.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@thecryptomist's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	365 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author states BTC more likely to hit ATH than $50k, which implies an up bias. $50k is referenced as a downside comparison, not a target. ATH is mentioned but no specific number is given, so targets are null. 'I think' and 'likely' = mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC reaches ATH. 'Most of this year will be ranging' anchors the thesis to the current year (2026); D = 2026-05-05, 'this year' → Dec 31 2026 = 240 days, but the phrase is bound to the ranging context (not the outcome). However, 'this year' as a macro framing for the overall thesis is outcome-adjacent and earnest, so §3 applies: Dec 31 2026 − May 5 2026 = 240 days → explicit_timeframe = 240.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$81,279
Target	—
Duration	365 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	365
Duration used in scoring	365

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$81,279
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 23479.22,
  "mfe": 1570.59,
  "mqs": 0.522602,
  "ocs": 0.062699,
  "tif": 0.333333,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.025353,
  "sigma_d": 0.02698602,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.522602,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-05 12:59:32+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 365,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.739406,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.235997,
  "activation_price": 81279.41,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 5731,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.026134,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}