Passport #167234 · Jul 26, 2026 · 16:59 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 2 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster opened a short with an explicit $61k target, clearly a down call. The $64.7k retest is entry/context, not a target, and is in the opposite direction of the call so not extracted.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to $61k. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome — '$61k target' gives a price level but no timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1010.43,
"mfe": 1991.7,
"mqs": 0.765886,
"ocs": 0.663429,
"tif": 0.505155,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.497116,
"sigma_d": 0.0154748,
"eval_end": "2026-07-28 16:59:50+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.765886,
"max_close": 65668.2,
"min_close": 62991.28,
"eval_start": "2026-07-26 16:59:50+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 2,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.451949,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.607897,
"activation_price": 64734.17,
"dir_target_score": 0.466741,
"candles_evaluated": 192,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.02119,
"scoring_candle_tf": "30m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 97,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 97,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 49,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 97
}