Passport #180400 · Aug 9, 2026 · 14:05 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call for ETH with explicit target of $10,000. Use of 'is possible' indicates heavy hedging rather than firm commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH reaches $10,000. 'Coming bull run' is an earnest macro statement with bullrun language → Signal H base 120. No tiebreaker cues to move to 60.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5.48,
"mfe": 1.73,
"mqs": 0.063665,
"ocs": 0.239941,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-09 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002056,
"sigma_d": 0.02731481,
"eval_end": "2026-08-09 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1921.63,
"magnitude": 0.063665,
"max_close": 1926.84,
"min_close": 1921.23,
"eval_start": "2026-08-09 14:05:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-09 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.065782,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.076415,
"activation_price": 1925.63,
"dir_target_score": 0.00015,
"candles_evaluated": 22,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013657,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}