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Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #146112 · Jul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

TE
@tedpillows
Jul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTC
𝕏
$BTC has formed a bearish divergence on the 4H timeframe. This looks bad in the short term. https://t.co/IGUGzYGE5H

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration7 days · Short Term
Trigger
Trigger Operator

AI Reasoning

Bearish divergence and 'looks bad in the short term' clearly indicate a down call. No price targets given. 'Looks bad' is a mild hedge rather than a firm declarative statement.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines. 'Short term' is bound to the outcome (bearish divergence looks bad in the short term), but it is not a specific duration phrase — no explicit timeframe. 'Short term' with bearish/decline framing and no bounce/bottom/macro register → Signal B is not applicable (no bounce language); no urgency cues; DEFAULT would be 30, but 'short term' paired with a chart-based directional down call most naturally maps to Signal C/B register — however, the clearest match is no specific signal beyond the 'short term' qualifier, which routes to DEFAULT 30. Re-evaluating: 'looks bad in the short term' is a directional down with 'short term' as the only temporal cue, no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro language → DEFAULT 30. However, 'short term' on a 4H chart divergence call is consistent with a 14-day window via Signal B (short-term bearish move). No bounce language present, so Signal B does not strictly apply; DEFAULT 30 is the correct answer.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$63,364
Target
Duration7 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.50composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.65
Path Score (OCS)0.58
Time Score (TIF)0.51
Magnitude0.65
Max Favorable Move+2.9%
Max Unfavorable Move−2.1%
Candles evaluated672 · 4h
Eval windowJul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTCJul 14, 2026 · 10:10 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourcechart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)7
Duration used in scoring7

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A->4A
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcenone
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$63,364
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1328.82,
  "mfe": 1819.45,
  "mqs": 0.647378,
  "ocs": 0.577921,
  "tif": 0.511628,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.265586,
  "sigma_d": 0.02491752,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-14 10:10:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.647378,
  "max_close": 64542.48,
  "min_close": 61608.14,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-07 10:10:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.04236,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.500628,
  "activation_price": 63364.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 672,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.027547,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 22,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}