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Passport #146112 · Jul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TE@tedpillows
Jul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTC
𝕏 $BTC has formed a bearish divergence on the 4H timeframe.
This looks bad in the short term. https://t.co/IGUGzYGE5H
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish divergence and 'looks bad in the short term' clearly indicate a down call. No price targets given. 'Looks bad' is a mild hedge rather than a firm declarative statement.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines. 'Short term' is bound to the outcome (bearish divergence looks bad in the short term), but it is not a specific duration phrase — no explicit timeframe. 'Short term' with bearish/decline framing and no bounce/bottom/macro register → Signal B is not applicable (no bounce language); no urgency cues; DEFAULT would be 30, but 'short term' paired with a chart-based directional down call most naturally maps to Signal C/B register — however, the clearest match is no specific signal beyond the 'short term' qualifier, which routes to DEFAULT 30. Re-evaluating: 'looks bad in the short term' is a directional down with 'short term' as the only temporal cue, no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro language → DEFAULT 30. However, 'short term' on a 4H chart divergence call is consistent with a 14-day window via Signal B (short-term bearish move). No bounce language present, so Signal B does not strictly apply; DEFAULT 30 is the correct answer.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,364 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.50composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.65 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.58 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.51 |
| Magnitude | 0.65 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 7, 2026 · 10:10 UTC → Jul 14, 2026 · 10:10 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,364 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1328.82,
"mfe": 1819.45,
"mqs": 0.647378,
"ocs": 0.577921,
"tif": 0.511628,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.265586,
"sigma_d": 0.02491752,
"eval_end": "2026-07-14 10:10:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.647378,
"max_close": 64542.48,
"min_close": 61608.14,
"eval_start": "2026-07-07 10:10:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.04236,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.500628,
"activation_price": 63364.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.027547,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 22,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}