Call Audit

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Passport #82611 · May 29, 2026 · 06:50 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@teddycleps

May 29, 2026 · 06:50 UTC

𝕏

This is where you want to see bitcoin:native bounce It can get quite ugly below this range https://t.co/X9rVBAm9EX

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$73,518
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: 'It can get quite ugly below this range' is a break-below condition with bearish direction. No numeric trigger (range only shown in chart), no target stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC gets 'quite ugly' below the range (bearish continuation). No explicit horizon. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Chart is BTC/USD weekly, matching Stage 3 asset. A pink/red support zone is clearly drawn around the 73,500 level where price is currently testing/bouncing. This is consistent with a Category A hold/support trigger for an up claim. Trigger extracted from the labeled zone edge at 73,518.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$64,143
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$73,518
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 4, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$73,786
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3149.4,
  "mfe": 6342.56,
  "mqs": 0.580841,
  "ocs": 0.668203,
  "tif": 0.666667,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.255539,
  "sigma_d": 0.02186475,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.580841,
  "max_close": 67292.14,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-04 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 64142.75,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-04 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.869505,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.542813,
  "activation_price": 64142.75,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2903,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.113722,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 6,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 6,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}