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Passport #82109 · May 26, 2026 · 07:42 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
TE@teddycleps
May 26, 2026 · 07:42 UTC
A lot of people are still calling for $40,000 and $60,000
Me thinks that the worst is over
bitcoin:native is at the bottom of a multi-year range and the bounce towards the median and high levels are coming
Slowly, painfully - but they are coming 🤝 https://t.co/o0S6In0cyr
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author dismisses bearish $40K/$60K calls from others (not their own targets) and predicts a bounce toward median and high of a multi-year range — clearly up direction. No specific numeric targets are stated by the author. 'Me thinks' and 'slowly, painfully' soften the claim = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bounces toward median and high levels of a multi-year range. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bottom of a multi-year range' and 'slowly, painfully' suggest a sustained recovery thesis with macro/HTF framing → Signal B2 base 30, ↑ to 60 for HTF/accumulation-zone language ('multi-year range', 'slowly, painfully').
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76,655 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $76,655 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 18854.37,
"mfe": 1425.44,
"mqs": 0.792046,
"ocs": 0.070289,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-26 14:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.049106,
"sigma_d": 0.02226318,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.792046,
"max_close": 77958.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-05-26 07:42:39+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.570439,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.22786,
"activation_price": 76654.56,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 3736,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011841,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 7,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 7,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
} 