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Call Audit
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Passport #174640 · Aug 3, 2026 · 08:51 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
All eyes on the Clarity Act to pass within the next few days
bitcoin:native looks a heavy here, as the cloud is acting as resistance, additionally it is about to death cross
Traditionally death crosses push prices down quite heavily for a few months
The Clarity Act is the only saviour
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish tone based on 'heavy', 'resistance', and death cross language pushing prices down. No specific price targets stated. Hedged by dependence on Clarity Act as potential saviour, hence mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines. 'Traditionally death crosses push prices down quite heavily for a few months' — 'a few months' is bound to the outcome (the bearish move), mapping to 60 days per §3.2 'couple of months / few months'.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,542 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,542 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1518.25,
"mfe": 105.27,
"mqs": 0.149795,
"ocs": 0.064841,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-03 09:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.004448,
"sigma_d": 0.02074468,
"eval_end": "2026-08-03 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.149795,
"max_close": 63967.19,
"min_close": 62541.5,
"eval_start": "2026-08-03 08:51:58+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.162278,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.054771,
"activation_price": 62541.5,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 42,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010372,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}