Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #120788 · Jun 18, 2026 · 10:29 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@swisstrader09

Jun 18, 2026 · 10:29 UTC

$BTC stated this already in my discord, i won't do long business today, as BTC is not looking great below 64200 and it's in clear danger to flush to the lows again..... https://t.co/IQ1jcPnzLM

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger	$64,200
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

64200 is the break-below trigger; 'the lows' is mentioned as destination but not a numeric target, so target fields are null. Single conditional claim with downside direction after losing 64200.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC flushes to the lows (conditional on breaking below 64200). Per §0.5, 'today' is bound to the trader's own activity ('won't do long business today'), not to the outcome. No horizon phrase is attached to the downside move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$62,369
Target	—
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$64,200
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 18, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Scoring

0.48composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.62
Path Score (OCS)	0.57
Time Score (TIF)	0.16
Magnitude	0.62
Max Favorable Move	+6.8%
Max Unfavorable Move	−5.2%
Candles evaluated	673 · 4h
Eval window	Jun 18, 2026 · 16:00 UTC → Jun 25, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	7
Duration used in scoring	7

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,965
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3253.39,
  "mfe": 4254.43,
  "mqs": 0.616927,
  "ocs": 0.566666,
  "tif": 0.162791,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-25 14:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.569255,
  "sigma_d": 0.02703104,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-25 16:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.616927,
  "max_close": 65578,
  "min_close": 58290.17,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-18 16:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 62369.44,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-18 16:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.95953,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.47891,
  "activation_price": 62369.44,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 673,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.07109,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": 1,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}