Call Audit

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Passport #75321 · Jan 21, 2026 · 15:32 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@silverbulletbtc

Jan 21, 2026 · 15:32 UTC

𝕏

$XRP Look at this ugly 1M candle Below $1 is just a matter of time https://t.co/9bzCqvBRqa

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

XRP

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	XRP
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call with 'ugly candle' and 'Below $1 is just a matter of time' = declarative downside prediction. Target is $1 (the level price is expected to break below).

Duration reasoning

Outcome = XRP drops below $1. 'Just a matter of time' is vague forward language with no outcome-bound horizon phrase. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	XRP
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1.95
Target	$1 – $1
Duration	180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	reviewer_override
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	180

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$1.95
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=XRP, chart=NON_USD_PAIR

Merge Flags

asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: XRP

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.0408,
  "mfe": 0.9407,
  "mqs": 0.662883,
  "ocs": 0.958333,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-26 03:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.717059,
  "sigma_d": 0.03558209,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.662883,
  "max_close": 1.982,
  "min_close": 1.0146,
  "eval_start": "2026-01-21 15:32:22+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.087324,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.834569,
  "activation_price": 1.9499,
  "dir_target_score": 0.98463,
  "candles_evaluated": 15608,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.44369,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 6,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 6,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}