Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #60408 · Apr 19, 2026 · 22:51 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@silverbulletbtc

Apr 19, 2026 · 22:51 UTC

𝕏

Shorted $BTC at 78k I might hold this short until 55k https://t.co/ZD1yEGFLBB

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author shorted BTC and states they might hold until 55k, indicating a bearish call with 55k as the target. 'Might hold' softens the commitment to mild_hedge. 78k is the entry price, not a target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines to 55k. No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. 'Hold this short' is bag/hodl positioning language → Signal G base 90; no tiebreaker cues fire.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$74,047
Target	$55,000 – $55,000
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$74,047
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 8802.66,
  "mfe": 16247.15,
  "mqs": 0.589093,
  "ocs": 0.648594,
  "tif": 0.5,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.522581,
  "sigma_d": 0.02905421,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.589093,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-04-19 22:51:25+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.889389,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.565067,
  "activation_price": 74047.34,
  "dir_target_score": 0.833583,
  "candles_evaluated": 7227,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.246704,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 12,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 12,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 12
}