Passport #135987 · Jun 7, 2026 · 10:27 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 207 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster states Bitcoin will 'likely bottom in Q4', implying a downward move before that bottom. 'Likely' indicates mild_hedge. No numeric price target stated, so targets are null.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms (directional down). 'Bottom in Q4' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-06-07; Q4 ends Dec 31, 2026; Dec 31 2026 − Jun 7 2026 = 207 days.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4781.19,
"mfe": 4710.77,
"mqs": 0.511748,
"ocs": 0.496291,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.130574,
"sigma_d": 0.02163018,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.511748,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-07 10:27:59+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 207,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.716923,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.284653,
"activation_price": 62510.96,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2573,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.105115,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}