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Passport #151151 · Jul 12, 2026 · 15:10 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RO@roccobullboTTOM
Jul 12, 2026 · 15:10 UTC
𝕏 $LINK will go above $50 when $BTC hit $150k 🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/Xspk5X5iul
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post implies BTC hitting $150k as part of a conditional statement about LINK. Direction is clearly up with $150k as the target. However, target confidence is weakened because $150k is stated as a condition ('when BTC hits $150k') rather than a direct prediction, so a reasonable person could argue it's a hypothetical rather than the forecaster's own price target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC reaches $150k. No explicit timeframe attached to this outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires distinctly → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,191 |
| Target | $150,000 – $150,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,191 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2365.95,
"mfe": 234.08,
"mqs": 0.235006,
"ocs": 0.09003,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 00:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.016691,
"sigma_d": 0.02183546,
"eval_end": "2026-07-14 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.235006,
"max_close": 64295,
"min_close": 61904.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-12 15:10:21+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.267887,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.085432,
"activation_price": 64190.92,
"dir_target_score": 0.001213,
"candles_evaluated": 153,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013613,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}