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Passport #84016 · Jun 4, 2026 · 14:54 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RA@randgroup
Jun 4, 2026 · 14:54 UTC
Weekly close will be a massive test for $ETH, failing to defend $1,800 would be critical https://t.co/dEwu34pTBU
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $1,800 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Single conditional claim: failing to defend $1,800 is a break-below trigger implying bearish continuation. No numeric target stated. 'Critical' implies hedged commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops (bearish) if $1,800 fails. Per §0.5, 'weekly close' is the trigger condition, not an outcome horizon. No explicit timeframe bound to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,771 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $1,800 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 5, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.81composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 1.00 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.77 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.87 |
| Magnitude | 1.00 |
| Max Favorable Move | +15.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −4.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 5, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 5, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,774 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 78.77,
"mfe": 265.09,
"mqs": 0.996537,
"ocs": 0.770924,
"tif": 0.870968,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 05:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.594938,
"sigma_d": 0.02393431,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.996537,
"max_close": 1845.53,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-06-05 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1770.77,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-05 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 5.665692,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.808342,
"activation_price": 1770.77,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.026423,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 27,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 