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Call Audit
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Passport #171146 · Jul 30, 2026 · 13:30 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Bitcoin bears are more punctual than German trains lol
If the schedule holds... misery ends late October. Set your alarm! https://t.co/aljTEPvggh
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 93 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post implies bearish period ('misery') ends late October, meaning an upward reversal is expected — directional up call. 'If the schedule holds' qualifies the prediction, making it a mild hedge. No price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bearish period ends / upward reversal. 'Late October' is bound to the outcome ('misery ends late October'). D = 2026-07-30; 'late October' → Oct 31, 2026; Oct 31 − Jul 30 = 93 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,830 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 93 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 93 |
| Duration used in scoring | 93 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,830 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 222.69,
"mfe": 346.6,
"mqs": 0.400453,
"ocs": 0.608828,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-30 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.013899,
"sigma_d": 0.02090103,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.400453,
"max_close": 65022.01,
"min_close": 64683.97,
"eval_start": "2026-07-30 13:30:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 93,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.511582,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.505795,
"activation_price": 64830,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 24,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010451,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}