Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #140615 · Jun 25, 2026 · 09:09 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@randgroup

Jun 25, 2026 · 09:09 UTC

Bitcoin costs about $62K to mine right now. Bitcoin trades at $62K right now. Every time those two numbers touched, it was the bottom: 2015, 2019, 2020 and 2022. Here we are again. https://t.co/5Z7HMRFtbH

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@randgroup's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	45 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

By referencing prior bottoms (2015, 2019, 2020, 2022) at the mining cost equaling price, the author implies BTC is at a bottom now, which is an implicit up call. The $62K figures are current price/mining cost references, not targets. No explicit upside target stated. Tone is suggestive rather than declarative, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC is at a bottom and will move up. No explicit horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. The post draws a historical analogy to prior bottoms but provides no timeframe for the predicted recovery; no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires clearly enough to override DEFAULT → 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$61,741
Target	—
Duration	45 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.56composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.52
Path Score (OCS)	0.57
Time Score (TIF)	0.83
Magnitude	0.52
Max Favorable Move	+8.4%
Max Unfavorable Move	−6.4%
Candles evaluated	4320 · 2d
Eval window	Jun 25, 2026 · 09:09 UTC → Aug 9, 2026 · 09:09 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	45
Duration used in scoring	45

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$61,741
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3940.63,
  "mfe": 5215.33,
  "mqs": 0.519685,
  "ocs": 0.56961,
  "tif": 0.833333,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.305629,
  "sigma_d": 0.02249924,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-09 09:09:18+00:00",
  "end_close": 64824.16,
  "magnitude": 0.519685,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-25 09:09:18+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-09 09:00:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 45,
  "mew_days_used": 45,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.733312,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.557064,
  "activation_price": 61740.82,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 4320,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.115191,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 24,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 24,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 20,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 24
}