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Passport #136557 · Jun 10, 2026 · 09:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
RA@randgroup
Jun 10, 2026 · 09:21 UTC
Every cycle, supply-in-loss hits the same zone right before the turn. 2018 bottom. 2022 bottom. Now 2026 at $63K.
Source: @_checkonchain https://t.co/qVFyDY7qT7
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author predicts a 2026 bottom at $63K, following the pattern of prior cycle bottoms. This implies a downward move to $63K as the target. Statement is declarative with no hedging language.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms at $63K. '2026' is the year phrase, but post_timestamp is already 2026-06-10, so no future year phrase anchors the outcome. The post uses macro/cycle framing ('every cycle', 'bottom'), which could suggest Signal B2 or H, but the evaluable claim is the bottom call itself — Signal B2 base 30, with no urgency cue to push to 14 and no explicit macro payoff beyond the bottom to push to 60. Inferred 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $61,210 |
| Target | $63,000 – $63,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.66composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.84 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.64 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.74 |
| Magnitude | 0.84 |
| Max Favorable Move | +9.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −5.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 10, 2026 · 09:21 UTC → Jul 10, 2026 · 09:21 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $61,210 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_4_blocking_flags: target_wrong_side_down (scored)
Merge Flags
target_wrong_side_down: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3410.27,
"mfe": 6081.69,
"mqs": 0.843844,
"ocs": 0.64072,
"tif": 0.741935,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.425847,
"sigma_d": 0.02329336,
"eval_end": "2026-07-10 09:21:39+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.843844,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-10 09:21:39+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.856898,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-11 09:00:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.663086,
"activation_price": 61210.46,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.053507,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 23,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 