Passport #179312 · Aug 8, 2026 · 06:02 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Comparing current BTC to 2022 bear market bottom implies extreme undervaluation and an implicit bullish/up call. No explicit price targets given. 'Do what you want with this information' softens the commitment to a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up from extreme undervaluation. No explicit horizon phrase. The comparison to the 2022 bear market bottom is earnest macro/cycle framing ('extreme undervaluation', bottom analogy) → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 56.26,
"mfe": 212.28,
"mqs": 0.230246,
"ocs": 0.790496,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-08 14:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.007477,
"sigma_d": 0.02073433,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 65021,
"magnitude": 0.230246,
"max_close": 65136.69,
"min_close": 64954.1,
"eval_start": "2026-08-08 06:02:59+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.261684,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.507055,
"activation_price": 64980.26,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 54,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.012484,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}