Call Audit

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Passport #162497 · Jul 22, 2026 · 05:25 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@quintenfrancois

Jul 22, 2026 · 05:25 UTC

𝕏

Bitcoin cycle bottom is close https://t.co/mHzBWA848N

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@quintenfrancois's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

'Cycle bottom is close' implies price is near a low and will reverse upward, making this an up call. No specific price target provided. 'Is close' is a soft prediction, categorized as mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC bottoms and turns up (cycle bottom call). 'Close' is vague forward language with no explicit horizon bound to the outcome. Signal B2 applies (bottom call), base 30; no urgency cues to push to 14, and while 'cycle' language is present, the evaluable claim is the bottom itself (B2 wins over H per precedence). B2 base = 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$66,070
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$66,070
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 516.32,
  "mfe": 314.01,
  "mqs": 0.281577,
  "ocs": 0.378175,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-22 16:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.01256,
  "sigma_d": 0.02092707,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-22 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.281577,
  "max_close": 66283.99,
  "min_close": 65621.16,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-22 05:25:51+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.330696,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.168078,
  "activation_price": 66069.99,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 56,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.014372,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}