Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #149203 · Jul 10, 2026 · 08:37 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@quintenfrancois

Jul 10, 2026 · 08:37 UTC

I’m long-term bullish on SpaceX $SPCX I’m just more bullish on bitcoin:native here Bitcoin: • ~50% below ATH • Near realized price • Near the 200WMA • Near previous cycle ATH support

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author states they are bullish on bitcoin with supporting context (below ATH, near key support levels). No specific price targets mentioned. 'More bullish' is a firm declarative statement of position.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post uses macro framing ('long-term bullish', '200WMA', 'previous cycle ATH support', 'realized price') indicating a cycle-level thesis → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,200
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,200
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 544,
  "mfe": 492.83,
  "mqs": 0.508838,
  "ocs": 0.475324,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 14:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.017568,
  "sigma_d": 0.02159405,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.508838,
  "max_close": 64542.48,
  "min_close": 63732.25,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 08:37:32+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.710981,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.250433,
  "activation_price": 64200,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 84,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010797,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}