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Passport #137794 · Jun 11, 2026 · 15:14 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
QU@quintenfrancois
Jun 11, 2026 · 15:14 UTC
$BTC at 200 WMA https://t.co/ghL52YgcmS
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $60,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
A white arrow points up to a circled intersection on the orange moving average near ~60,000, indicating the forecaster expects price to drop into the MA support and bounce upward from it. Classified as Tier 2: small setup move down to the MA trigger, then a larger move up. Some ambiguity exists on whether 60k is a trigger level for a bounce vs. a downside target, but the upward arrow direction supports the bullish-bounce reading.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $60,000 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $60,000 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 25, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.51composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.50 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.58 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.73 |
| Magnitude | 0.50 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.7% |
| Candles evaluated | 887 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 25, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | default_30 |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $62,701 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidencegate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: truechart_p0_vs_candle_gap_over_5pct: 14.8
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2199.81,
"mfe": 2979.86,
"mqs": 0.503138,
"ocs": 0.575299,
"tif": 0.727273,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-03 21:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.223504,
"sigma_d": 0.02382064,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.503138,
"max_close": 62827.73,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-25 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 60000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-25 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {
"chart_p0_vs_candle_gap_over_5pct": 14.8
},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.699443,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.507304,
"activation_price": 60000,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 887,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.071006,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 11,
"trigger_candle_index": 13,
"aggregated_candles_count": 11,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 8,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 11
} 