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Passport #151170 · Jul 12, 2026 · 18:06 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
NO@nordin_eth
Jul 12, 2026 · 18:06 UTC
$FET is approaching the level that decides the next move.
After printing a fresh low near $0.160, I’m watching $0.192 closely.
If bulls reclaim $0.192, momentum can build toward $0.224.
If not, I’d expect another sweep lower towards $0.141.
That’s the level that will decide whether this is just a relief rally or the start of a real reversal.
Let the market confirm the move before committing to a bias.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | FET |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $0.192 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: failure to reclaim $0.192 (i.e., staying below) triggers a sweep lower to $0.141. Trigger is the same pivot level, opposite direction.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = FET sweeps lower to $0.141 if $0.192 fails. Per §0.5, 'if not' is the trigger condition — no horizon phrase attached to the downside outcome. No §4 signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | FET |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $0.1599 |
| Target | $0.141 – $0.141 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $0.192 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 12, 2026 · 20:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $0.1588 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.0012,
"mfe": 0.0042,
"mqs": 0.72479,
"ocs": 0.763636,
"tif": 0.75,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 03:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.243896,
"sigma_d": 0.03582546,
"eval_end": "2026-07-13 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.72479,
"max_close": 0.161,
"min_close": 0.1564,
"eval_start": "2026-07-12 20:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 0.1599,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-12 20:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {
"trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 20.9
},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.29022,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.62058,
"activation_price": 0.1599,
"dir_target_score": 0.185185,
"candles_evaluated": 39,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.020358,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 4,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 4,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
} 