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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #183386 · Aug 12, 2026 · 14:47 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
bitcoin:native
Situation is NOT complicated right now. A reclaim of 64500 would be confirmation for bulls, otherwise lower retest around 62 possible.
https://t.co/Z3sxjMEMT6 https://t.co/orN4MYwMoM
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $64,500 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: failure to reclaim 64500 implies downside with target around 62. Trigger is the same 64500 level (failure to reclaim); target is 62000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC retests around 62k if 64500 is not reclaimed. No horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $63,441 |
| Target | $62,000 – $62,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $64,500 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Aug 12, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,363 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 136.53,
"mfe": 73.12,
"mqs": 0.167911,
"ocs": 0.348772,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 16:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.010922,
"sigma_d": 0.01254034,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.167911,
"max_close": 63564.59,
"min_close": 63386.16,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 16:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 63441.47,
"trigger_ts": "2026-08-12 16:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.183816,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.256901,
"activation_price": 63441.47,
"dir_target_score": 0.038371,
"candles_evaluated": 15,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.00627,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}