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Passport #180396 · Aug 9, 2026 · 13:36 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@murocrypto

Aug 9, 2026 · 13:36 UTC

bitcoin:native What I see here is a possible flip of the daily EMA50 which is why I think a direct push to next major resistance is possible too. Weekly close volatility ahead. If we first get a dip during the close, I would expect price to move opposite after and try to catch a long

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@murocrypto's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author expects a push to next major resistance based on EMA50 flip = up direction. No numeric target stated ('next major resistance' is not quantified). Language 'possible', 'I think', 'would expect' = heavy_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC pushes up to next major resistance. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'weekly close' is a trigger/setup condition per §0.5, not bound to the outcome. The post references weekly close volatility and a potential dip-then-long setup, suggesting a short-term move within the week → Signal C (urgency/imminent move) base 14, but the framing is tightly bound to the weekly close window with no medium-term indication, so ↓ to 7.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$65,220
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$65,220
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 131.8,
  "mfe": 80.21,
  "mqs": 0.154187,
  "ocs": 0.378331,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-09 15:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.00563,
  "sigma_d": 0.01468849,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-09 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 65198.88,
  "magnitude": 0.154187,
  "max_close": 65260.01,
  "min_close": 65167.64,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-09 13:36:07+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-09 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.167456,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.134537,
  "activation_price": 65219.79,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 24,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.007344,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}