Call Audit

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Passport #142824 · Jun 30, 2026 · 14:53 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@murocrypto

Jun 30, 2026 · 14:53 UTC

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	2 days · Short Term
Trigger	$59,200
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: If 59200 not reclaimed, bearish continuation to Fibonacci support 56400-53700. Trigger is implied rather than explicit, and the support levels could be read as context rather than predicted destinations.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to support at 56400–53700. No explicit timeframe attached to the downside outcome. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$58,483
Target	$53,700 – $56,400
Duration	2 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$59,200
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

Scoring

0.23composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.51
Path Score (OCS)	0.16
Time Score (TIF)	0.07
Magnitude	0.51
Max Favorable Move	+1.2%
Max Unfavorable Move	−6.4%
Candles evaluated	193 · 30m
Eval window	Jun 30, 2026 · 15:00 UTC → Jul 2, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	2
Duration used in scoring	2

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$58,483
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence,post_trigger_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3717.19,
  "mfe": 682.62,
  "mqs": 0.507823,
  "ocs": 0.155148,
  "tif": 0.072165,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.204029,
  "sigma_d": 0.02519413,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-02 15:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.507823,
  "max_close": 62081.6,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-30 15:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 58482.81,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-30 15:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 2,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.708917,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.234791,
  "activation_price": 58482.81,
  "dir_target_score": 0.150278,
  "candles_evaluated": 193,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.016465,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "30m",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 97,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 97,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 97
}