Call Audit

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Passport #26757 · Apr 22, 2026 · 12:50 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@mmcrypto

Apr 22, 2026 · 12:50 UTC

Do not be Bullish on Bitcoin now short term. Justifiably Bullishness is just one Weekly close above $78k away. Just wait a little.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$78,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Trigger is a weekly close above $78k which activates a bullish stance. No numeric target stated. Single claim.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC becomes bullish (moves up) after a weekly close above $78k. Per §0.5, 'weekly close above $78k' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No §4 signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$78,658
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$78,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Apr 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.43composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.55
Path Score (OCS)	0.49
Time Score (TIF)	0.42
Magnitude	0.55
Max Favorable Move	+5.3%
Max Unfavorable Move	−5.6%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Apr 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → May 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$78,236
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 4367.95,
  "mfe": 4192.45,
  "mqs": 0.553028,
  "ocs": 0.489749,
  "tif": 0.419355,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.239255,
  "sigma_d": 0.02149843,
  "eval_end": "2026-05-27 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.553028,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 74451.64,
  "eval_start": "2026-04-27 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 78657.55,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-04-27 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.805259,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.425347,
  "activation_price": 78657.55,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.06619,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 4,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 13,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}