Passport #178187 · Aug 7, 2026 · 05:06 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'Bitcoin game over' is a clear bearish declarative statement implying downside. No specific price targets are stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines ('game over' bearish call). No explicit horizon phrase attached to the outcome. No §4 signal fires (no bounce, bottom, urgency, accumulation, or macro cues) → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1138.97,
"mfe": 74.4,
"mqs": 0.142044,
"ocs": 0.061317,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 05:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.0053,
"sigma_d": 0.01511643,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64861,
"magnitude": 0.142044,
"max_close": 65308.35,
"min_close": 64178,
"eval_start": "2026-08-07 05:06:28+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.153203,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.052165,
"activation_price": 64252.02,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 58,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007558,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}