Passport #136630 · Jun 10, 2026 · 16:37 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $59,140 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: Dip below previous low of $59,140 is a break-below trigger with bearish capitulation direction. 'Bear Market Low' is not a numeric target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC capitulates to bear market low after dipping below $59,140. No horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. 'Bear Market Low' could suggest macro framing but is used as a price label, not an earnest macro thesis → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 8331.44,
"mfe": 824.52,
"mqs": 0.696433,
"ocs": 0.090053,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.064292,
"sigma_d": 0.02359495,
"eval_end": "2026-07-31 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.696433,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 58624.71,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.192151,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.212695,
"activation_price": 58624.71,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011797,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 20,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}