Call Audit

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Passport #136630 · Jun 10, 2026 · 16:37 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@mmcrypto

Jun 10, 2026 · 16:37 UTC

BITCOIN 4 HOUR CHART: 2 Scenarios (they couldn’t be more different) 🟢 Break of W Neckline: $67’400 & possible reversal 🔴 Dip below prev. Low of $59’140 & full on CAPITULATION to Bear Market Low. https://t.co/36mGGSOxHH

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$59,140
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: Dip below previous low of $59,140 is a break-below trigger with bearish capitulation direction. 'Bear Market Low' is not a numeric target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC capitulates to bear market low after dipping below $59,140. No horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. 'Bear Market Low' could suggest macro framing but is used as a price label, not an earnest macro thesis → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$58,625
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$59,140
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 1, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.23composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.70
Path Score (OCS)	0.16
Time Score (TIF)	0.00
Magnitude	0.70
Max Favorable Move	+1.4%
Max Unfavorable Move	−7.4%
Candles evaluated	311 · 1d
Eval window	Jul 1, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$62,230
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 4355.15,
  "mfe": 824.52,
  "mqs": 0.696433,
  "ocs": 0.159184,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.064292,
  "sigma_d": 0.02359495,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.696433,
  "max_close": 62827.73,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 58624.71,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-01 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.192151,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.229977,
  "activation_price": 58624.71,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 311,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.011797,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 5,
  "trigger_candle_index": 20,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 5,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}