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Passport #154114 · Jul 14, 2026 · 08:23 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MI@mikybullcrypto
Jul 14, 2026 · 08:23 UTC
𝕏 $ETH
There's a likelihood that Eth breaks through this neckline https://t.co/uKhLLuWuHV
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $1,820 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
The neckline is referenced as a chart-based trigger but no numeric level is stated in the text, so trigger is null. Direction is up (breaking through neckline implies bullish continuation). No target stated. 'Likelihood' indicates mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH breaks through the neckline (upward move). No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, bottom-call, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: ETH/USDT on 1D timeframe extracted. Gate 2: matches Stage 3 asset ETH. Gate 3: pink horizontal zone (neckline) with inverse H&S shoulder markings clearly identifies a trigger structure. Gate 4: up direction consistent with break-above neckline. Trigger extracted from the pink zone's level near 1820, just above current price of 1783.96.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,892 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $1,820 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,787 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 27.49,
"mfe": 1.45,
"mqs": 0.051884,
"ocs": 0.050103,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.003508,
"sigma_d": 0.02877076,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.051884,
"max_close": 1891.87,
"min_close": 1864.6,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 1891.87,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.053279,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.026374,
"activation_price": 1891.87,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 23,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.014385,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}