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Passport #175491 · Aug 4, 2026 · 13:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
BITCOIN IS AT A KEY DECISION POINT
Bitcoin is currently testing the $64,000 resistance zone.
We’ve seen BTC push into this area multiple times over the last few days, but sellers have continued defending it and rejecting price back below.
The important thing now is whether buyers can finally absorb that selling pressure.
A clean break above $64,000 with a hold would put $65,000 back in focus and potentially open the door for further upside.
However, if Bitcoin continues failing at this level, I’d be watching the $63,000 area closely as the next important support.
What stands out is that buyers are still stepping in on dips, with BTC continuing to build higher lows from the recent $62,500 region.
For now, this is a simple battle between buyers trying to reclaim momentum and sellers defending resistance.
$64,000 is the level that decides the next move.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $64,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: If BTC fails at 64k resistance (holds below), the downside target is 63k support.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC fails at $64k and drops to $63k. No horizon phrase is bound to this outcome; the trigger is continued failure at $64k. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $64,129 |
| Target | $63,000 – $63,000 |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $64,000 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Below |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Aug 4, 2026 · 15:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.22composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.49 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.20 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.11 |
| Magnitude | 0.49 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 289 · 1h |
| Eval window | Aug 4, 2026 · 15:00 UTC → Aug 7, 2026 · 15:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,945 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1262.27,
"mfe": 314.43,
"mqs": 0.490056,
"ocs": 0.199423,
"tif": 0.109589,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 15:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.070856,
"sigma_d": 0.01456105,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 15:00:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64957.98,
"magnitude": 0.490056,
"max_close": 65308.35,
"min_close": 63945.53,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 15:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 64128.72,
"trigger_ts": "2026-08-04 15:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": true,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 15:00:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.673455,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.217481,
"activation_price": 64128.72,
"dir_target_score": 0.162299,
"candles_evaluated": 289,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007281,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 8,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}