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Call Audit
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Passport #174634 · Aug 3, 2026 · 07:36 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Bitcoin is back below $63,000.
Despite improving sentiment around U.S.-Iran talks and falling oil prices, BTC has failed to gain momentum as fresh market concerns hit risk appetite.
Technically, Bitcoin is now testing an important level.
$63,000 has been acting as key support.
Losing this level opens the door for a deeper move towards $61,000.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $63,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is losing $63,000 (key support break-below). Target after break is $61,000. Single claim with clear conditional structure.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to $61,000 after losing $63,000 support. Per §0.5, 'losing this level' is the trigger — no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No §4 signal fires for this conditional down move → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,621 |
| Target | $61,000 – $61,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $63,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Aug 3, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.17composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.51 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.10 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.02 |
| Magnitude | 0.51 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −4.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 673 · 4h |
| Eval window | Aug 3, 2026 · 08:00 UTC → Aug 10, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,644 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2853.36,
"mfe": 321.1,
"mqs": 0.512638,
"ocs": 0.101151,
"tif": 0.023256,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-03 08:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.048554,
"sigma_d": 0.01426832,
"eval_end": "2026-08-10 08:00:00+00:00",
"end_close": 65202.73,
"magnitude": 0.512638,
"max_close": 65408.05,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-03 08:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62621.1,
"trigger_ts": "2026-08-03 08:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 08:00:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.718748,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.1714,
"activation_price": 62621.1,
"dir_target_score": 0.173395,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007134,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}