Passport #173041 · Aug 1, 2026 · 06:13 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
MA@martiniguyyt
Aug 1, 2026 · 06:13 UTC
𝕏 Bitcoin has now lost the level it spent the last week trying to reclaim.
$64,000 has flipped back into resistance, and every attempt above it has been sold.
That shifts the focus lower.
If buyers can't reclaim $64,000 soon, I'd expect price to continue working towards the $61,000 support zone.
That's the first level I'd be watching for a meaningful reaction.
Lose that, and the $59,000-$59,500 range becomes the next major area of interest.
For now, the structure still looks like lower highs and failed reclaim attempts.
Bulls need to take back $64,000 before the momentum starts shifting again.
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $64,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below / Flip Bearish |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: Failure to reclaim 64k (flipped to resistance) triggers downside continuation to 61k support. Trigger 64k, target 61k.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC works toward $61,000. Per §0.5, 'soon' is fused to the trigger ('can't reclaim $64,000 soon'), not the outcome — no explicit horizon on the downside move. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2314.99,
"mfe": 801,
"mqs": 0.79429,
"ocs": 0.257061,
"tif": 0.162791,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.119763,
"sigma_d": 0.01514299,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 12:00:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64967.35,
"magnitude": 0.79429,
"max_close": 65308.35,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-01 12:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 63076,
"trigger_ts": "2026-08-01 12:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 12:00:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.581286,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.333476,
"activation_price": 63076,
"dir_target_score": 0.354523,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008031,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}