Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #169215 · Jul 28, 2026 · 07:39 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@martiniguyyt

Jul 28, 2026 · 07:39 UTC

Bitcoin just gave us a really important signal that most people are missing. Everyone is looking at the drop from $65K and asking: “Is this the start of another dump?” I’m looking at something else. Leverage. Bitcoin dropped. but open interest dropped with it. That’s a big difference. When price falls and traders keep adding leverage, that’s when you get dangerous moves and liquidation cascades. Right now, we’re seeing the opposite. Traders are getting flushed out. Open interest has fallen from above $22B towards $21.2B, meaning a lot of excess risk has already been removed from the market. This is exactly what you want to see during a healthy reset. The market is clearing leverage instead of building more of it. I’m watching $63K closely. If Bitcoin holds here and open interest starts rising alongside price, that’s a much healthier signal that buyers are stepping back in. If we lose $63K and leverage starts rebuilding again, then I’d become more cautious. But right now? This doesn’t look like Bitcoin breaking down. It looks like Bitcoin resetting. A lot of people only watch price. The better traders watch what’s happening underneath.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@martiniguyyt's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger	$63,000
Trigger Operator	Hold Above

AI Reasoning

Claim 1: Holding $63K with rising open interest is a hold-trigger with bullish continuation implied ('buyers stepping back in'). No numeric target stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises (buyers step back in after holding $63K). The trigger is '$63K holds and OI rises'; no horizon phrase is bound to the bullish outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$63,450
Target	—
Duration	3 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$63,000
Trigger operator	Hold Above
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 28, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

Scoring

0.71composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.72
Path Score (OCS)	0.73
Time Score (TIF)	0.96
Magnitude	0.72
Max Favorable Move	+3.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−1.1%
Candles evaluated	289 · 1h
Eval window	Jul 28, 2026 · 12:00 UTC → Jul 31, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	3
Duration used in scoring	3

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,488
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 707.53,
  "mfe": 1959.56,
  "mqs": 0.722254,
  "ocs": 0.734718,
  "tif": 0.958904,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.419475,
  "sigma_d": 0.01509087,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-31 12:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.722254,
  "max_close": 65189.32,
  "min_close": 62991.28,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-28 12:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 63450,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-28 12:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 3,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.281048,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.708838,
  "activation_price": 63450,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 289,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.024108,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 73,
  "trigger_candle_index": 4,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 73,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 70,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}