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Passport #146591 · Jul 8, 2026 · 03:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MA@martiniguyyt
Jul 8, 2026 · 03:21 UTC
Bitcoin is starting to lose momentum here.
We rejected the $63,500 reclaim and have now slipped back below it.
That was the level I wanted to see hold if this move was going to continue.
The renewed US strikes on Iran have also added another layer of uncertainty across global markets, and Bitcoin has started reacting.
From here, I think the focus shifts back towards $61,000.
If that gives way, the $59,000-$59,500region becomes the next major support I'm watching.
The chart still feels fragile until Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above $63,500 again.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish tone with 'losing momentum' and 'focus shifts back towards $61,000' as the predicted destination. 'I think' makes this a mild_hedge. The $59,000-$59,500 region is a conditional next target ('if that gives way') and belongs to the separate conditional claim, so not extracted here. $63,500 is a rejected reclaim level, not a target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines toward $61,000. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,054 |
| Target | $61,000 – $61,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.46composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.75 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.42 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.44 |
| Magnitude | 0.75 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.4% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 8, 2026 · 03:21 UTC → Jul 15, 2026 · 03:21 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3AA->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,054 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2046.19,
"mfe": 1509.25,
"mqs": 0.746624,
"ocs": 0.42449,
"tif": 0.44186,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.223015,
"sigma_d": 0.02450859,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 03:21:17+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.746624,
"max_close": 65043.98,
"min_close": 61608.14,
"eval_start": "2026-07-08 03:21:17+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.372883,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.458997,
"activation_price": 63053.81,
"dir_target_score": 0.703897,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.017435,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 19,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 