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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #146233 · Jul 6, 2026 · 11:54 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Bitcoin has recovered nearly 8%.
But aggregated open interest has only increased by around 4%.
That's an important difference.
Price is moving faster than liquidity is entering the market.
Yesterday's rally also saw a wave of new long positions open.
Since then, many of those positions have already started closing as momentum faded.
The recovery is happening.
The conviction behind it is still questionable.
If spot demand doesn't step in over the next 24 hours, this starts looking more like a leverage-driven rally than a sustainable breakout.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
A downward arrow is drawn on the price chart extending from recent price action into the forecast zone past the last candle, indicating continued bearish price movement. The accompanying OI panel arrow reinforces the bearish thesis (falling open interest with falling price). Tier 1 directional down claim.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,484 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.43composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.78 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.35 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.33 |
| Magnitude | 0.78 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 288 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 6, 2026 · 11:54 UTC → Jul 9, 2026 · 11:54 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $62,484 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2216.16,
"mfe": 1177,
"mqs": 0.783857,
"ocs": 0.346874,
"tif": 0.328767,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-06 13:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.26611,
"sigma_d": 0.02459415,
"eval_end": "2026-07-09 11:54:48+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.783857,
"max_close": 64489.98,
"min_close": 61456,
"eval_start": "2026-07-06 11:54:48+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.531817,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.431402,
"activation_price": 62483.84,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 288,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.012297,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 24,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
}