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Passport #143987 · Jul 3, 2026 · 04:47 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MA@martiniguyyt
Jul 3, 2026 · 04:47 UTC
𝕏 SOL has quietly been one of the strongest charts in crypto over the past week.
It reclaimed $74, then $78, and has now held above $80 after pushing into a new local high around $82.65.
The level I'm watching now is $84.40.
If SOL can break above that, the structure starts looking a lot more interesting.
If it can't, I'd expect a retest of $78 before the market decides where it wants to go next.
For now, SOL continues to outperform.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $84.4 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: If SOL fails to break $84.40 (holds below as resistance), expect a retest of $78. Trigger is the same $84.40 level but the failure condition triggers a downward move to the $78 target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = SOL retests $78 if $84.40 fails. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome; no bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | SOL |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $81.82 |
| Target | $78 – $78 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $84.4 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 4, 2026 · 12:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.68composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.57 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.74 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.86 |
| Magnitude | 0.57 |
| Max Favorable Move | +6.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 673 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 4, 2026 · 12:00 UTC → Jul 11, 2026 · 12:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $80.51 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1.92,
"mfe": 5.53,
"mqs": 0.566562,
"ocs": 0.742272,
"tif": 0.860465,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.565232,
"sigma_d": 0.03970545,
"eval_end": "2026-07-11 12:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.566562,
"max_close": 82.95,
"min_close": 76.41,
"eval_start": "2026-07-04 12:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 81.82,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-04 12:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.836006,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-08 06:45:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.683633,
"activation_price": 81.82,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.080846,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 7,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 37,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}