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Passport #136665 · Jun 10, 2026 · 20:30 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@martiniguyyt

Jun 10, 2026 · 20:30 UTC

It is only 662 days until the Bitcoin halving Bitcoin has historically found a cycle bottom and begun an uptrend in the year before the halving Even if things get worse this year, don't lose focus on the bigger picture https://t.co/5Zf99SGfUQ

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@martiniguyyt's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author predicts BTC will find a cycle bottom and begin an uptrend before the halving, indicating an up call. No specific price targets stated. Language is suggestive based on historical pattern rather than a firm declaration, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC finds a cycle bottom and begins an uptrend. No explicit horizon bound to the outcome; 'this year' is attached to a caveat, not the predicted move. Earnest halving-cycle framing ('cycle bottom,' 'bigger picture') → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$61,914
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$61,914
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 4113.81,
  "mfe": 5378.15,
  "mqs": 0.836637,
  "ocs": 0.566601,
  "tif": 0.666667,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.196236,
  "sigma_d": 0.0218551,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.836637,
  "max_close": 67292.14,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-10 20:30:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.811782,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.566535,
  "activation_price": 61914,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2245,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.047944,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}