Call Audit

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Passport #155298 · Jul 17, 2026 · 15:38 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@macrocrg

Jul 17, 2026 · 15:38 UTC

Bitcoin's strength against tech over the last 2 weeks is encouraging granted, it's after 11 straight months of complete annihilation alas, i like BTC here @ range lows against tech + am optimistic that this strength persists https://t.co/VuuPsdrzwC

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@macrocrg's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	180 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bullish stance expressed via 'i like BTC here' and 'optimistic that this strength persists' → direction up. No price targets stated. 'Optimistic' softens the commitment to mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC continues up (strength persists). No explicit horizon bound to the outcome. The post references 'the last 2 weeks' of strength and expresses optimism it persists, implying a similar near-term continuation window; this maps to Signal B (short-term bounce/relief) base 14, as the forecaster is calling a relief move at range lows after a prolonged decline.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,212
Target	—
Duration	180 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	reviewer_override
Duration stated (days)	180
Duration used in scoring	180

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,212
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=BTC, chart=NON_USD_PAIR

Merge Flags

asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 469.87,
  "mfe": 3743.81,
  "mqs": 0.753906,
  "ocs": 0.888489,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.11023,
  "sigma_d": 0.02127616,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.753906,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 62991.28,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-17 15:38:33+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 180,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.402044,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.688156,
  "activation_price": 63212.34,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1263,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.042243,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}