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Passport #149307 · Jul 10, 2026 · 22:44 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MA@macrocrg
Jul 10, 2026 · 22:44 UTC
BTC doesn't look bad at all... especially considering the volatility in momentum stonks over past few weeks
4H MA's now all curling up
manifesting a green weekend + weekly close above $66k https://t.co/xPtjhBvwVF
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish tone with 4H MAs curling up and 'manifesting a green weekend + weekly close above $66k' indicates up direction with $66k as the target level. 'Manifesting' is aspirational language, categorizing as mild_hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC closes above $66k. 'Weekly close above $66k' with 'green weekend' anchors the outcome to the end of the current week. D = 2026-07-10 (Friday); next Sunday = 2026-07-12 → 2 days, but 'weekly close' implies end of the weekly candle (Sunday close), so days(Jul 10 → Jul 12) = 2; however 'this week' maps to 7 per §3.2. The phrase 'green weekend + weekly close' is outcome-bound (not a trigger), and 'this week' → explicit_timeframe = 7.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,124 |
| Target | $66,000 – $66,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,124 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 139.9,
"mfe": 186.03,
"mqs": 0.245146,
"ocs": 0.570767,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-11 01:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.027485,
"sigma_d": 0.02063144,
"eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.245146,
"max_close": 64228.82,
"min_close": 64006.98,
"eval_start": "2026-07-10 22:44:47+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.281231,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.46085,
"activation_price": 64123.97,
"dir_target_score": 0.055889,
"candles_evaluated": 28,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010316,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
} 