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Passport #142398 · Jun 29, 2026 · 17:07 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
MA@macrocrg
Jun 29, 2026 · 17:07 UTC
solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv
6 months of basing on declining volume, double bottom, looks a lot like accumulation
most memes have 0 moat, pengu got their IP + brand which receives billions of views like clockwork
if/when SOL marks up, hard to see pengu not following along
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | PENGU |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish accumulation thesis with 'marks up' indicating up direction. 'If/when' phrasing is a heavy hedge — conditional and uncertain. No price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = SOL marks up. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. '6 months of basing' describes past chart behavior (not an outcome horizon per §2 Step 1). Accumulation framing ('6 months of basing', 'accumulation') with a 'next leg' implied → Signal E, ↑ to 90 for multi-month thesis with 'next move' phrasing and no macro payoff.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | PENGU |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $75.27 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
0.00composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.00 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.00 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.00 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −100.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 2985 · 1w |
| Eval window | Jun 29, 2026 · 17:07 UTC → Jul 30, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $75.27 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_5_asset_mismatch: path=3A->4A, claim=SOL, chart=NON_USD_PAIR
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: SOL
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 75.264347,
"mfe": 0,
"mqs": 0,
"ocs": 0,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-29 17:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0,
"sigma_d": 0.05337198,
"eval_end": "2026-07-30 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0,
"max_close": 0.006915,
"min_close": 0.005684,
"eval_start": "2026-06-29 17:07:21+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0,
"activation_price": 75.27,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2985,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.026686,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 6,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 6,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
} 