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Passport #78373 · May 5, 2026 · 06:10 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
LU@luckychartape
May 5, 2026 · 06:10 UTC
𝕏 I took the the $BTC short, It's too late and I am too tired too explain all the reasons again.. so will open up the members channel until tomorrow for free for anyone who cares to read why. Link in bio for discord.
Basically waited for order flow to show shorts squeezed out
#bitcoin
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster explicitly states they took a short on BTC, indicating a down call. No price targets are mentioned in the post. Tone is declarative — they have already entered the position.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines (short position taken). No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome; no bounce, urgency, bottom-call, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $80,959 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.29composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.47 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.34 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.23 |
| Magnitude | 0.47 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 96 · 15m |
| Eval window | May 5, 2026 · 06:10 UTC → May 6, 2026 · 06:10 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 1 |
| Duration used in scoring | 1 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $80,959 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 832.55,
"mfe": 431.17,
"mqs": 0.467518,
"ocs": 0.341191,
"tif": 0.229167,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-05 10:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.132742,
"sigma_d": 0.01690174,
"eval_end": "2026-05-06 06:10:51+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.467518,
"max_close": 81700.01,
"min_close": 80586.02,
"eval_start": "2026-05-05 06:10:51+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 1,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.630206,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.292655,
"activation_price": 80958.93,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 96,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008451,
"scoring_candle_tf": "15m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 96,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 96,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 22,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 96
}