Call Audit

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Passport #170209 · Jul 29, 2026 · 09:45 UTC · scored as of Oct 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC

@lluciano_btc

Jul 29, 2026 · 09:45 UTC

Generational buy zones don’t stay open forever. When retail is panicking, the macro data is screaming OPPORTUNITY. Every single time Bitcoin’s Supply in Loss slams into this 10.5M BTC red zone, it marks absolute seller exhaustion and a generational macro bottom. 📍 2018 Bear Market Bottom: Hit the band 📍 2020 COVID Capitulation: Hit the band 📍 2022 Bear Market Bottom: Hit the band When pain is at its maximum, the bottom is in. The smart money is watching this exact zone to reload for the next macro expansion phase.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@lluciano_btc's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Post declares a 'generational macro bottom' and anticipates the 'next macro expansion phase' — a clear bullish/up directional stance. No specific price target is stated (10.5M BTC refers to Supply in Loss, not a price). Tone is firm and unhedged, so declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up from a generational macro bottom into the next expansion phase. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. Post uses earnest macro language ('generational macro bottom', 'macro expansion phase', 'smart money reload') → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,606
Target	—
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,606
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 981.84,
  "mfe": 138.82,
  "mqs": 0.186185,
  "ocs": 0.123873,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-29 10:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.004918,
  "sigma_d": 0.02085908,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-29 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.186185,
  "max_close": 64698,
  "min_close": 63695.1,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-29 09:45:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.206022,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.078744,
  "activation_price": 64605.99,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 39,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.01043,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}