Call Audit

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Passport #156467 · Jul 18, 2026 · 12:01 UTC · scored as of Oct 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC

@lluciano_btc

Jul 18, 2026 · 12:01 UTC

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply just hit a new ATH While price consolidates, the OGs are stacking harder than ever. Strong hands refusing to sell = massive supply shock incoming. This is textbook accumulation. The real move is still ahead. https://t.co/z5EAzcVlzd

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@lluciano_btc's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bullish thesis via 'supply shock incoming', 'textbook accumulation', and 'real move is still ahead' — direction is clearly up. No specific price targets stated. Declarative tone with no hedging language.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up significantly ('the real move is still ahead'). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Textbook accumulation' + 'supply shock incoming' + 'stacking harder than ever' = active accumulation language with a macro-flavored payoff ('massive supply shock', 'real move'), pointing to Signal E with ↑ to 90 for multi-month 'next leg' framing without a specific macro payoff like 'bull run'.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,138
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

0.58composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.53
Path Score (OCS)	0.75
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.53
Max Favorable Move	+0.8%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.3%
Candles evaluated	30 · 1w
Eval window	Jul 18, 2026 · 12:01 UTC → Jul 18, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,138
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 175,
  "mfe": 531.5,
  "mqs": 0.52809,
  "ocs": 0.7523,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-18 18:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.021897,
  "sigma_d": 0.02123116,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-18 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.52809,
  "max_close": 64576.15,
  "min_close": 64012.74,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-18 12:01:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.750967,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.575572,
  "activation_price": 64138,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 30,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.011035,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}