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Passport #154141 · Jul 14, 2026 · 11:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
LL@lluciano_btc
Jul 14, 2026 · 11:30 UTC
In my view, $TAO under $200 is an absolute gift. https://t.co/9yruKHkD89
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | TAO |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $200 |
| Trigger Operator | Acceptance Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is $200 — the forecaster views buying TAO below this level as a gift, indicating a bid/accumulation zone (bullish reversal setup). No numeric target stated. 'In my view' signals a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = TAO rises from under $200. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Absolute gift' framing signals strong accumulation conviction at a price level → Signal E (active accumulation). No macro payoff language, but the 'absolute gift' phrasing implies a multi-month thesis rather than a quick trade → ↑ to 90.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | TAO |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $200 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $200 |
| Trigger operator | Acceptance Below |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Bidding / Wick / Liquidity Grab (Reversal UP) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
This call is conditional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $198 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 6.4,
"mfe": 1.4,
"mqs": 0.28442,
"ocs": 0.179485,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.032032,
"sigma_d": 0.04183333,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.28442,
"max_close": 201.3,
"min_close": 194.3,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 200,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.334661,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.248984,
"activation_price": 200,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 23,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.020917,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
} 