Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #84036 · Jun 4, 2026 · 16:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@layahheilpern

Jun 4, 2026 · 16:03 UTC

There's a major shift in the prediction markets landscape @trylimitless rolled out the ability for anyone to create their personalised prediction markets and get a 50% fee share. I just went bearish BTC calling for another 5% drop...

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bearish call ('went bearish BTC calling for another 5% drop'). No absolute price target stated — only a relative 5% drop without P0 context, so targets are null. Declarative tone with no hedging.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops ~5%. No horizon phrase is bound to this outcome. No bounce, urgency, bottom-call, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,660
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.59composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.62
Path Score (OCS)	0.62
Time Score (TIF)	0.74
Magnitude	0.62
Max Favorable Move	+9.2%
Max Unfavorable Move	−5.7%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 4, 2026 · 16:03 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 16:03 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$63,660
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3632.15,
  "mfe": 5859.81,
  "mqs": 0.615808,
  "ocs": 0.617345,
  "tif": 0.741935,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.398073,
  "sigma_d": 0.01873346,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 16:03:24+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.615808,
  "max_close": 67292.14,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-04 16:03:24+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.956613,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.59329,
  "activation_price": 63660,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.096223,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 23,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}