Passport #173093 · Aug 1, 2026 · 15:45 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly welcomes 'lower lows' they've been predicting, clear down call. No specific price targets stated. Declarative tone with 'lfg' enthusiasm confirms firm commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC makes lower lows. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'for over a year' refers to past prediction history, not a forward window. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 44.01,
"mfe": 732.06,
"mqs": 0.758385,
"ocs": 0.943291,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.053135,
"sigma_d": 0.01635965,
"eval_end": "2026-08-01 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.758385,
"max_close": 63007.06,
"min_close": 62370.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-01 15:45:35+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.420409,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.688703,
"activation_price": 63007.06,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 14,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.00818,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}