Call Audit

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Passport #142353 · Jun 29, 2026 · 13:16 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@layahheilpern

Jun 29, 2026 · 13:16 UTC

To everyone who thinks the bottom is in: 1. The Fed is now talking about HIKING rates this year 2. $4 billion left the bitcoin ETFs this month, that's record breaking numbers... More pain coming...

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call rejecting bottom thesis with 'More pain coming' as a declarative statement. No specific price targets provided. The $4 billion figure refers to ETF outflows, not a price target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC continues down (more pain coming). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires for this directional down call → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$59,978
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$59,978
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 3483.98,
  "mfe": 2177.82,
  "mqs": 0.664438,
  "ocs": 0.384652,
  "tif": 0.142857,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.164699,
  "sigma_d": 0.02716253,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.664438,
  "max_close": 63439.87,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-29 13:16:52+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.091948,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.339162,
  "activation_price": 59978.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 545,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.033253,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 7,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 7,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
}