Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #27902 · Apr 28, 2026 · 06:46 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@ivanontech

Apr 28, 2026 · 06:46 UTC

GOOOD MORNING CRYPTO!!! CAREFUL HERE BITCOIN DUMPS HARD EACH MAY IN BEAR MARKETS While bulls were euphoric, Bitcoin: ❌ didn’t break above bull market support band ❌ didn’t go into bull trend on the money line ❌ didn’t do a higher high ❌ didn’t do any big engulfing candle of any sort to show bull upper hand DO NOT BE COMPLACENT HERE!!

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	75 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call - 'Bitcoin dumps hard each May in bear markets' plus warnings about complacency and listing bullish failures. Declarative tone with all-caps urgency. No specific price targets stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC dumps hard. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Each May' references a seasonal pattern/catalyst context, not an outcome timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$76,720
Target	—
Duration	75 days · Long Term

Scoring

0.69composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.71
Path Score (OCS)	0.76
Time Score (TIF)	0.69
Magnitude	0.71
Max Favorable Move	+24.7%
Max Unfavorable Move	−8.0%
Candles evaluated	7200 · 3d
Eval window	Apr 28, 2026 · 06:46 UTC → Jul 12, 2026 · 06:46 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	reviewer_override
Duration stated (days)	75
Duration used in scoring	75

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$76,720
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 6130,
  "mfe": 18919.81,
  "mqs": 0.711749,
  "ocs": 0.755288,
  "tif": 0.692308,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.613152,
  "sigma_d": 0.024826,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-12 06:46:19+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.711749,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-04-28 06:46:19+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 75,
  "mew_days_used": 75,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.243923,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.693124,
  "activation_price": 76720,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 7200,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.198251,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 26,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 26,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 18,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 26
}