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Passport #26953 ยท Apr 23, 2026 ยท 09:36 UTC ยท scored as of Jul 15, 2026 ยท 14:03 UTC
IV@ivanontech
Apr 23, 2026 ยท 09:36 UTC
๐ Bitcoin: too early for bulls to celebrate
way way way too early
drop to 200W MA and below is still in play and very real
but the main thing is how you position yourself
we dont know the future
we need to be humble, never complacent and ensure that no matter what happens we are in massive profits
I go deep in todays live (click below)
Stage 1 ยท Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 ยท Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 ยท Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days ยท Medium Term |
| Trigger | โ |
| Trigger Operator | โ |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call warning of drop to '200W MA and below'. No explicit numeric target provided (200W MA is a moving average reference, not a stated price). 'Still in play and very real' combined with hedging language ('we don't know the future') = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 200W MA and below. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'too early' and 'still in play' are vague qualifiers, not timeframes. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires โ DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 ยท Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 ยท Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $77,726 |
| Target | โ |
| Duration | 60 days ยท Medium Term |
Scoring
0.74composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.76 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.78 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.76 |
| Magnitude | 0.76 |
| Max Favorable Move | +23.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | โ6.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 5760 ยท 3d |
| Eval window | Apr 23, 2026 ยท 09:36 UTC โ Jun 22, 2026 ยท 09:36 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $77,726 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved โ no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 5124,
"mfe": 18595.09,
"mqs": 0.756061,
"ocs": 0.783971,
"tif": 0.761905,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.649465,
"sigma_d": 0.02573656,
"eval_end": "2026-06-22 09:36:52+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.756061,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-04-23 09:36:52+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.410838,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.737851,
"activation_price": 77726,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 5760,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.169572,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 21,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 21,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 16,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 21
}